Donald Trump returns to power next year. Then what? Here are possible scenarios for NATO and Ukraine

Donald Trump, if he returns to power, may take steps to limit commitments to some NATO members and pressure Ukraine to end the conflict with Russia. This is what Forsal.pl reports based on information from Bloomberg.

Limiting commitment to NATO

According to Bloomberg, there is potential for Trump’s plan to introduce a two-tier NATO alliance. Article 5, which requires mutual defense for any member under attack, would only apply to countries that meet the requirement to spend 2% of GDP on defense. A decision on this has not been made.

Pressure on Ukraine

Trump could change U.S. policy toward Ukraine by pressuring Ukraine to negotiate with Russia to end the conflict. Trump’s advisers have even talked about inviting the Ukrainian and Russian presidents to the negotiating table.

NATO’s response

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg stressed that Article 5 (the principle of collective defense) is at the heart of the alliance. Any attempt to reduce NATO’s commitments would raise concerns about the security and cohesion of the alliance, and could potentially weaken its defense unity.

Relations with China

Washington’s shift in position on Ukraine could affect relations with China, where the US is embroiled in tensions over Taiwan. Any sign of weakening engagement in Europe could also be taken by China as a signal on Taiwan.

War and foreign policy

Forsal.pl’s article suggests that Trump’s return to power could affect US foreign policy in ways that are unprecedented in modern presidential politics. Trump’s actions, such as increased emphasis on defense spending, have already affected relations with his allies.

Its relation to NATO spending

During his term, Trump pushed NATO countries to meet a defense spending target of at least 2% of GDP. His possible return could raise these issues again and affect alliance dynamics.

Forsal.pl’s text highlights potential scenarios, not actual decisions made by Trump. Further developments in the situation and possible changes in foreign policy will depend on many factors, including Trump’s possible return to power and the reaction of other countries and allies.

The full text of the article is available at: Reconstructing NATO and forcing peace in Ukraine? Donald Trump’s potential plan revealed – Forsal.pl

Atwater Adkins

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