- Witold Sokała believes that there are at least two reasons why the Kremlin thinks Ukraine itself blew up the dam at Nowa Kakhovka
- “Firstly, they are diverting their own public attention from the recent attacks on their own turf. Second, they deny their own crimes on a large scale – he told Onet
- According to the expert, the counterattack continues only in the sense that Ukraine is deliberately and consistently expanding Russia’s defensive line.
- – Russia will lack reserves and warehouses where General Valery Załużny will deliver a decisive blow – according to him
- Other important information can be found on the Onet home page
Witold Sokała pointed out that yesterday, Sergei Shoigu, Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation, made such a “distraction” during a teleconference with senior commanders, and the available pseudo-media immediately spread it “all over Russia, around the world”.
– It will probably be promoted in our country too, by those who more or less openly support the Kremlin. This is a very clear interest from Russia, said the deputy director of the Institute of International Relations and Public Policy of the Jagiellonian University in Kielce.
“They deny their own crimes on a grand scale”
According to the expert, there are at least two reasons why the Kremlin believes that the Ukrainians themselves blew up the dam at Nowa Kakhovka.
“First of all, they distracted their own public opinion from the recent attacks on their own territory carried out by Russian anti-Putin volunteer formations,” our interlocutor believes.
“Secondly, they deny their own large-scale crimes. However, in the eyes of some world opinion, they will sow doubts, and maybe even worsen the rating of a Ukrainian, based on the principle “it is not known whether he stole a bicycle or it was stolen from him, but he was involved in theft” – he added.
Sokała: Russia is again perfecting its information warfare methods
At the same time, the expert admits that Russia, after a period of stagnation in this regard, is again improving its information warfare methods. For in this category he also treats the stubborn repetition, at least since Monday, that the widely expected major Ukrainian offensive has begun.
– And of course, again in Shoigu’s opinion, it was heroically beaten back by the Russian army. This was a talk that comforted the subordinates’ hearts. The farther they were from the scene, the easier it was for them to believe they were back on the winning team. It may also be a method to, at least temporarily, improve the mood in Russia’s highest authorities, which must be very difficult these days, especially around Shoigu and his team, said Dr. Sokała.
“Flood caused by bandits excludes one of the variants”
As our interlocutors claim, the counteroffensive only continues in the sense that Ukraine is deliberately and consistently expanding Russia’s defensive line. They attacked different places with small forces, forcing the enemy to be generous with reserves and arrange additional logistics.
– These reserve troops and stores will be short where General Valery Załużny will deliver the decisive blow – the expert assumes. – By the way: it is possible that the explosion of the dam at Nowa Kakhovka is one additional piece of evidence that the Ukrainian general staff is extremely tight on information, and that Russian intelligence is blind and deaf as to the location of the planned offensive. It’s just that the flooding caused by these bandits ultimately excluded one of the variants that Russia had so far had to consider, namely, Ukraine forcing a passage south of the Dnieper and marching to Crimea by the shortest route, he added.
In the opinion of dr. Sokały is unlikely, but in case Russia has to freeze a lot of power in this section.
– Now they can reposition in a much more threatened direction, near Mariupol and Berdyansk. And that they caused a great ecological crisis in the process? This was never a concern in Moscow. That the occupying forces and their collaborators in Crimea will soon dry up in their throats, as the water supply to the so-called peninsula will be reduced suddenly. North Crimea Canal? This is also not the greatest concern of the generals – he stressed.
Plus from tragedy
Sokała also points out that while facing such a tragedy it is difficult to talk about the bright side, he does find some.
– It’s been a long time since I heard a chorus of unequivocal condemnation of Russia, with such a significant solo part from the heads of German and French diplomacy. I know these are just words, but the words spoken yesterday by the ministers of both countries will remain in the minds of their voters for a long time and will hinder any possible future attempts to return to normal business with the Russian regime, according to the expert .
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