– It would be very expensive for Israel to enter the Gaza region, says a Hamas expert.
Short version
- At the end of last week, Israel was attacked by Hamas from land, sea and air. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said his country was at war.
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On Saturday, Israel was attacked by HamasHamasHamas is a Palestinian political, religious and social movement. Hamas was founded in 1987, but the movement is based on the Muslim Brotherhood, which had existed in Palestine for decades before Hamas was founded. starting from land, sea and air. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu immediately responded by saying his country was at war. On Sunday, at least 600 Israelis and 400 Palestinians were killed.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said this revenge would be very powerful. The country may now be preparing a land invasion of Gaza. On Sunday evening, video appeared to show a long line of Israeli tanks heading towards Gaza. But what is the actual comparison of strength between Israel and Hamas in war?
The short answer is that the two are almost incomparable, because the power ratio is so different. Israel has one of the strongest military forces in the world, with advanced weaponry and high technology. Apart from that, this country is a country that has nuclear power. They were also greatly superior in army numbers, with more than half a million soldiers.
The military arm of the Islamist movement Hamas is described as a guerrilla movement, with around 15,000 troops if you include the entire security forces. But they have local knowledge and know Gaza better than the enemy.
What is Israel facing in Gaza?
And there is also Hamas which is preparing to face the Israeli army when it enters Gaza. They had planned an urban guerrilla war in one of the most densely populated areas in the world.
Erik Skare, a researcher in Middle Eastern studies at the University of Oslo, is an expert on the Palestinian resistance struggle and Palestinian Islamic jihad. Based on previous experiences of others intifadaintifadaArabic expression for rebellion or resistance in the early 2000s and Israel’s invasion of the Jenin refugee camp in 2002, he believes we can expect major losses for Palestinian civilians.
– We can also estimate the large losses suffered by the Israeli military in the form of infantry and ground troops. Entering the Gaza region is very expensive for Israel, Skare said.
He believes the world will see urban warfare in which fighting moves from house to house, street to street, and from neighborhood to neighborhood.
– What we have seen in the past, what we will probably also see now, is a land invasion where Israel would drive the bulletproof bulldozers in first, razing everything in front of it to the ground. Behind him are soldiers who will receive heavy support from aerial combat helicopters, he said.
One of the advantages that Hamas has is that this is their home ground, while Israel is far away.
– Hamas also wants to bury explosives, and they have a whole network of underground tunnels in Gaza at their disposal, Skare said.
Dag Henrik Tuastad, a senior lecturer in Middle Eastern studies at the University of Oslo (UiO), said Hamas’ militant section, the al-Qassam Brigades, had been preparing for Israel to attack Gaza. They are a kind of elite Hamas force.
– They already planned it. This is one of the reasons for the massacre we witnessed on Saturday. To force Israel to attack Gaza. There was nothing militarily more difficult than entering a city, he said.
Where does Hamas get its weapons?
On Saturday, Hamas claimed that it had sent several thousand rockets into Israel. Some of them are said to have reached Tel Aviv. But how can they get all the weapons into Gaza under the supervision of Israel, which is known to have one of the best intelligence agencies in the world?
Skare points out that following the Arab Spring there has been a large-scale professionalization of rocket production for Hamas. If previously they had explosives that were less accurate and did not cause much damage, now they have the right rockets.
– The lawlessness of the Sinai Peninsula made it easier to obtain weapons. The collapse in Libya also meant that Hamas was able to seize some of the territory there and take it to Gaza, he said.
The longer-range and more precise rockets that Hamas now has came with Iran’s help. Palestinian engineers, among others, have been to Iran and received training there on how to build rockets.
– Since it is impossible to transport large rockets to Gaza, Palestinian militants receive training on how to assemble them. The parts were then smuggled to Gaza. They also received training in military knowledge and drone use, Skare said.
– The know-how to produce weapons has been developed and created in weapons workshops in Gaza, Tuastad said.
After Hamas took power in Gaza, they tried to transform the security forces into a more organized defense with departments, such as a separate navy and intelligence, according to Tuastad.
Also have to fight in the north
Sunday morning attack too Hezbollah militiaHezbollah militiaHezbollah is an Islamic party, social movement and military organization in Lebanon with roots in Iran. Hezbollah has roots in and enjoys significant support from Lebanon’s Shiite population. in Lebanon Israel in the north of the country. The attack was carried out to show solidarity with Hamas, according to Hezbollah itself. But what does it mean for Israel if they now have to fight on multiple fronts?
– The pessimistic scenario is that this is something coordinated between Hamas and Hezbollah, said Tuastad, who pointed out that Hamas leaders met with Hezbollah leadership earlier this year.
Skare stressed that if Hezbollah joins, there will be serious consequences.
– This will not be a real crisis for Israel, but they will suddenly face a much better equipped, trained and professional army against them, one that has received conventional warfare training after years in Syria.
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