According to ediv, the first phase of the war in Ukraine was marked by Russia’s failure in the main direction of attack on Kyiv. In addition, Russia found that the numbers of troops and equipment in other directions were insufficient and had to regroup. The invaders have so far attacked on five fronts: Kyiv, Kharkov, Donbas, Mariupol and Crimea.

The Ukrainian army stated that Russian troops were partially withdrawing from the area north of Kiev towards the Belarusian border. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned that the withdrawal of Russian troops was a tactical step that would lead to new attacks in southern Ukraine and the Donbas region. The president added that the occupying forces are strengthening their positions near the besieged city of Mariupol.

“(Russia’s) efforts are concentrating towards Donbas and Luhansk to control the traditional territories of the Luhansk and Donetsk regions, and possibly still as far as Mariupol and possibly Kherson, to try to break through the corridors in Odessa,” the spokesman said. former chief of staff of the Czech army.

Forty thousand Ukrainian soldiers are stationed in the Donbas, which is considered the most experienced part of the Ukrainian army. They had built a defensive line similar to the trenches of the First World War.

“We will see to what extent the Russian army is able to fulfill the tasks that may be received from Putin, and on the other hand, how the Ukraine, with their army and outstanding moral status, will be able to withstand a relatively outnumbered army,” Ediv said.

Change of tactics

According to him, it is known that Putin replaced several key commanders, who may have failed in the first phase of the conflict. “Since then, we have witnessed a complete change of approach, with Russia starting to take the classic route of destroying infrastructure, reserves, logistics or battlefield preparations, and only then carrying out mass attacks.”

Therefore Ukraine must prepare for the next fight will be very difficult, and prepare reserves of logistical resources, fuel or even plant repairs. According to ediv, they have to take into account the fact that “when the attack starts, it’s going to be very violent and violent.”

Gray pointed out that it was important to hold back the attacks first and then prepare for a counterattack that would either push the Russians back or create a state of balance in which they would be unable to continue, forcing them to act. But he said Russia could offer a diplomatic solution that would not please Ukraine.